It’s the question everyone’s asking: is Canada in a real estate bubble right now?
I dive deep into this question in our latest video discussion. (If you haven't seen it yet, check it out here: YouTube - Are We In a Bubble?)
Here’s a quick breakdown of the key factors we discussed:
Canadian home prices have definitely outpaced wage growth over the last decade. Cities like Vancouver, Toronto, and even parts of Alberta and the Maritimes have seen eye-popping price increases compared to incomes.
But while high price-to-income ratios can signal overheating, they’re not the only metric that matters.
Canadian household debt relative to GDP is high—there’s no sugar-coating that. However, most mortgage debt in Canada is backed by real assets with equity. Plus, with strong immigration and housing demand continuing, there are forces propping up the market that weren't present in previous "bubble bursts" seen in other countries.
Thanks to government regulation, the mortgage stress test is now part of the Canadian approval process. Buyers have to prove they can afford their payments even if rates rise significantly. This adds resilience to the market that wasn’t there in the pre-2008 era.
We’re also seeing an increasing shift toward fixed-rate mortgages, which protect buyers from sudden payment shocks and add even more stability to the system.
Recent government initiatives focused on immigration targets and housing development are fueling demand. Economic growth, while not without its challenges, remains positive.
Bottom line: While certain local markets may cool off or adjust, there’s strong underlying support for the broader Canadian real estate market.
Whether you’re a first-time buyer or thinking about picking up a second property, having a strategic plan is everything. Here's how we can help:
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